etfmsolutions: June 2018

Tuesday, June 12, 2018

QLD mixed for Wednesday...06.12.18

Vixen has a flat signal for QLD while PVOL is long. TrendX is on the cross. Market technicals and the volatility trends (ATR and OC) are neutral.
There will be no post Wednesday or Thursday.

Monday, June 11, 2018

QLD flat for Tuesday....06.11.18

The TrendX is positive, the volatility skew is neutral and the paradigm Alert is positive....yet, contrary to logic, the QLD for tomorrow is flat...just part of the risk equation. All eyes on Singapore.

Sunday, June 10, 2018

QLD long for MOnday....06.10.18

Despite G7 fireworks the general market mood appears to be positive and, depending on the trend of the NOKO/US summit, the market could experience a big jump in enthusiasm. Despite the woefully overbought technical levels the prospects for new highs are clearly evident.

Thursday, June 7, 2018

QLD long for Friday...06.07.18

Defying common sense the QLD Vixen and PVOL models are long while the mean regression MR model flat. To date, the MR model has produced the best win/loss ratio while the PVOL (blended priced pivot momentum and volatility trend) has produced the best total returns (keeping in mind we use the risk management strategy of never allowing an early wing become a loss intraday...this has produced an additional 15.5% total return not reflected in the published metrics.)

Wednesday, June 6, 2018

QLD mixed for Thursday...06.06.18

QLD is mixed for Thursday as volatility continues to erode (see RSQ line). The PVOL model is long, the Vixen is flat...as is the mean regression MR model. Volume is low and liquidity is waning so caution is advised despite the apparent blissful trading meltup.

Tuesday, June 5, 2018

QLD mixed, SSO flat for Wednesday.....06.05.18

Same signals as yesterday. Medical issues kept me at the hospital most of the day so late posting.

Monday, June 4, 2018

QLD mixed, SSO flat for Tuesday....06.04.18

Good news = market pop....now we just need to watch out for a red surprise on Turnaround Tuesday.
QLD is long on Vixen and flat on the mean regression model (shown below). SSO is flat.

Sunday, June 3, 2018

QLD long and SSO flat for Monday....06.03.18

If SPY can break through 272 we're likely to retrace to the old highs.
All the news is good for now. Italy apparently not a worry to the markets despite potential long term repercussions.
TrendX signals are flashing a warning.

Commentary and Updates

Mosaic Solutions commentary is typically published daily as time permits and market action warrants.
Posts feature Mosaic model updates including delta neutral stops, VIXEN directional trades and PONZO forecasts.

NOTE: Posted risk exposure indicators, signals and metrics apply to Mosaic models only. They are not directly correlated with price movement in the major market indices and can not be used to forecast directional changes in those instruments.
Each Mosaic model is a unique blend of risk factors and must be treated accordingly.

TRENDX is a proprietary Mosaic market signal that blends volume, RSI, momentum and rate of change.

ETF Mosaic Solutions and the editors of Mosaic Solutions are neither an investment advisory service nor registered investment advisers or broker-dealers and do not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies readers should buy or sell for themselves.
This site and related software products are for research and educational purposes only, and nothing herein should be construed as an offer to buy or sell, or as a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell securities, or to provide individual investment advice.

Investing is risky and past performance, whether actual or tested, is no guarantee of future results.
Any quantitatively derived allocations referenced herein should only be starting points for conducting your own research.

You are responsible for your own trading decisions and resultant gains or losses. When in doubt, please seek professional guidance from a registered adviser who can respond to your personal needs and risk profile.