Thursday, June 19, 2014

New VIX Low, New XIV High....6.19.14

Intra day saw new VIX lows and new XIV highs accompanied by big pops in gold and silver and, not surprisingly, XLE went over the 100 mark today as the IRAQ oil field situation has oil traders betting on the long side.
Given the extremely low VIX its become increasingly difficult to mine premium using covered calls or credit spreads and although for the first quarter of the year traders use to be able to collect a fairly reliable 1-1.5% / month using 3o day ATM covered calls on the majors that return has now dropped to .5-.75% and even in those situations the risk/reward curve has gotten skewed to the risk side.
IMHO, it's actually hard to make money in the current markets despite what the get quick ads might suggest.