Tuesday, January 30, 2018

XIV flat for Wednesday....01.30.18

XIV was down over 6% today as the markets cratered on basically no news.  I warned that the signals were not in sync and that any vested signals were risky and I followed my own advice and stayed flat into today's session.  The markets are now oversold and volatility is at short term resistance so we may get a bounce tomorrow if the SOTU message is received well.
Note that the "best bet" odds have shot up again to 2.3%.
I am short VXX into Friday's option expiry just as a contrary hedge against volatility.
With a 1.:5 risk to reward ratio this is a cheap bet.  (see below)..