Sunday, April 22, 2018

QLD Mixed Signal for Monday....04.22.18

We're in a technical holding pattern currently as the signals are not providing a synced signal.  We closed the little QLD position at the open Friday, saving a few bucks as the day wore down.
For Monday I've posted the TF (volatility trend following), PVOL (price and volatility hybrid) and MR1 (short term mean reversion) performance metrics.  Depending on how you cut it the TF model still looks the best in terms of win/loss but the MR model has much better linearity.
Checking the ATR and OC charts its clear that volatility is once again on the rise as P^ crosses above the RSQ linear regression line.  TF looks like the best technical signal with a modestly upbeat fast Alert on the TrendX but in this dynamic political environment anything can happen.