Tuesday, June 24, 2014

Break Down + Butterfly Tactics....6.24.14

We got the big move predicted yesterday (at least in the VIX/XIV) and it portends more to come.

Just as an aside note in answer to an M3 user's question as to which signal to follow when the Short Term Alert and the rankings diverge...example>  Alert Stop is active but XIV still shows in #1 slot......I generally go with the ALERT signal.

VIX rose 11% while XIV was down 4% intraday.  The opening green in the indices came under selling pressure and the biggest loser today was hands down XLE, which has been on a juggernaut roll for weeks.

So what's a guy to do for the next 6 months to limit risk exposure and still work an attractive risk/reward scenario?  One idea, which I've mentioned before, is a 3 prong option strategy, that has a fixed $ downside and which can be applied to both bullish and bearish market conditions.  A sample idea for playing SPY's current situation is shown below.  You can check out other ideas here for free.