Thursday, October 6, 2016

October Metrics and TLT Worries...10..06.16

Here's 2 views of the current market environment courtesy of my friends at State Street Advisors.
We are seeing a lot of sector churn and these momentum based  metrics may rotate quickly.  For now sentiment is NOT bullish and the movement of capital is going towards financials.
Following the State Street charts is the current TLT outlook using the VPR model with the volatility filter turned ON. We're not making much headway with TLT  these days after a strong 6 month showing using the standard mean reversion model....leaving us to once again ponder exactly which paradigm will emerge as the most tradeable for the coming months.