Monday, August 3, 2015

Worse Than It Looked...08.03.15t

So much for bullish behavior on the first trading day of the month.  August is typically the worse month of the year for that behavior but this was the worst first trading day of the month in 2 years.
Apple sold off particularly hard....down 3% at one point.  SPY spent most of the afternoon session down at S3 and the persistent negative TICK were a setup for another leg down ....but there was some recovery into the close although the technicals were awful.  XLU continues to shine as our #1 position but, as pointed out this weekend, it is seriously overbought.
Look back to this weekend's post of the SPY VDX and the comment about the parallel and downslope VDI+ and VDI- over the past 2 days. If we ever see this pattern again we'll know to be very wary of any bullish prospects in the near term.